/* VAR Model */ data varsim; year y1 y2 1900 2.62485 1.57087 1901 4.93430 5.23645 1902 5.01591 4.45697 1903 2.70546 4.81747 1904 1.25194 3.03530 1905 1.59411 1.37312 1906 0.71842 1.78558 1907 0.36017 1.30555 1908 1.06154 1.80048 1909 -1.46675 -0.44045 1910 -3.06585 -1.65279 1911 -2.17281 -1.31478 1912 -2.64710 -2.43128 1913 -2.20226 -1.59201 1914 -1.19604 -1.62343 1915 0.80304 -2.20077 1916 1.34072 -0.45664 1917 2.12475 0.76316 1918 2.09101 2.62695 1919 1.21570 2.19781 1920 0.82002 2.12265 1921 -0.04604 1.71410 1922 -1.47352 0.53750 1923 -0.00110 -1.32149 1924 0.82335 -0.59538 1925 0.56226 1.89586 1926 -0.09498 1.80191 1927 -0.67590 1.35164 1928 1.13430 1.03904 1929 -0.41170 0.22354 1930 -0.98882 -0.26123 1931 -1.12862 -0.98111 1932 -2.90857 -0.72878 1933 -3.67911 -1.77674 1934 -5.33257 -2.43761 1935 -4.13111 -4.13171 1936 -1.94005 -2.81903 1937 -0.84103 -1.58154 1938 -0.41804 -1.15372 1939 1.39126 0.27845 1940 2.24444 1.67413 1941 2.33648 2.19433 1942 1.75040 2.88266 1943 1.37970 1.96614 1944 1.60102 1.11799 1945 1.86474 1.82160 1946 0.01702 1.98099 1947 -0.70079 1.31964 1948 0.35639 1.31354 1949 0.53580 3.18122 1950 -1.94322 1.54267 1951 -4.35630 -2.18455 1952 -3.80380 -3.40905 1953 -2.77730 -2.81017 1954 -1.14345 -2.62987 1955 0.32652 -3.08460 1956 -0.59853 -2.52687 1957 0.24701 -2.15869 1958 1.03601 0.57772 1959 1.30153 2.03251 1960 -0.97534 2.41442 1961 -1.66926 2.07747 1962 -3.57826 -0.29188 1963 -3.18825 -1.83174 1964 -4.42798 -3.37792 1965 -3.69282 -5.56678 1966 -0.77968 -3.45879 1967 0.31845 -1.01950 1968 2.42829 1.39735 1969 2.90953 2.97457 1970 3.18864 4.00868 1971 2.52264 2.70380 1972 2.56634 1.42618 1973 1.93267 1.86952 1974 0.66529 1.21788 1975 -0.71908 -1.23094 1976 0.84946 0.13448 1977 1.42037 0.05968 1978 1.07522 0.87339 1979 1.24082 0.46436 1980 -0.26404 -0.41690 1981 1.25768 1.00070 1982 2.07584 2.52332 1983 0.56314 2.83219 1984 -0.69178 0.45338 1985 -0.74898 -0.03334 1986 -1.77712 -1.06091 1987 -0.56677 -1.15610 1988 0.97714 0.22238 1989 1.28098 0.08110 1990 1.44853 0.68150 1991 0.38083 1.52146 1992 -1.48250 -0.38636 1993 -2.07079 -1.27126 1994 -1.69095 -1.59873 1995 -2.83967 -2.68385 1996 -1.94178 -0.54252 1997 -1.75169 0.07168 1998 -2.87724 -0.62831 1999 -3.38692 -3.57215